Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.510787 0.597812 0.692965 0.804435 0.931133 1.070346 1.234564
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.385252 0.503783 0.645791 0.827133 1.051083 1.317029 1.655024
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.297883 0.429076 0.599089 0.832462 1.140917 1.530696 2.055895
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.227339 0.357788 0.539262 0.804815 1.177083 1.673043 2.374824
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.192517 0.326986 0.525681 0.832375 1.283591 1.910962 2.833991
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.164141 0.299244 0.510240 0.852017 1.376945 2.134720 3.288032
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.148311 0.287810 0.516462 0.902543 1.517586 2.433891 3.868359
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.125256 0.259504 0.490863 0.898476 1.572260 2.608257 4.276096
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.105164 0.232403 0.462684 0.885358 1.609056 2.755388 4.649724
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.089375 0.210212 0.439380 0.876587 1.650154 2.909625 5.041418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.079559 0.197974 0.432159 0.894490 1.736386 3.140236 5.566061
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.070617 0.185787 0.423098 0.907392 1.813972 3.360457 6.085564
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.061708 0.172208 0.409906 0.911963 1.878842 3.566883 6.601013
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054840 0.161996 0.402173 0.926219 1.962617 3.811447 7.196018
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047920 0.150145 0.389137 0.928087 2.022840 4.018266 7.738277
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.039703 0.132974 0.361579 0.896287 2.014744 4.101719 8.069763
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036505 0.128692 0.362904 0.926009 2.129932 4.415756 8.825440
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033173 0.123255 0.360625 0.947355 2.229538 4.706351 9.553595
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.031903 0.123718 0.372899 1.002654 2.403049 5.145465 10.573658
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.027928 0.114763 0.359944 0.998171 2.450463 5.346104 11.163210
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024079 0.105153 0.343687 0.983789 2.475012 5.503035 11.677917
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020938 0.097059 0.330142 0.974174 2.508584 5.678659 12.235247
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.019156 0.093390 0.328423 0.993790 2.608593 5.992391 13.072232